9C8515Spring Airlines · PVG → HND
live · 5m ago
Route confirmed Spring Airlines

9C8515 ShanghaiPVG · 21:10 TokyoHND · 01:05

9C8515 by Spring Airlines flies from Shanghai (PVG) to Tokyo (HND) for the Mon, Nov 9 departure.

Right nowScheduled · today
21:10

departs PVG · on schedule

⚖ 9C8515 typically leaves +19 and lands −6. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+19 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−6 minmedian over 10 operations
Wins back in air~25 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 10tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+32+65+97 min
11-09
+61 arrival
11-08
+97 gate · +61 arrival
11-06
+13 gate · −26 arrival
11-04
+46 gate · +18 arrival
11-02
+12 gate · −27 arrival
11-01
+10 gate · −22 arrival
10-30
+16 gate · −31 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −6 min · 0 cancelled · 10 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
PVGShanghaiModerate riskPVG delay board →
HNDTokyoOn-time likelyHND delay board →
PVG→HNDevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
37%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.5%Chance of cancellation
+8 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by HND (Tokyo), currently flying VFR (visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at Shanghai

Forecast

Tue 10 Nov, local date

High15°Clikely 14°C to 16°C
Low8°Clikely 7°C to 10°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Tokyo

Forecast

Tue 10 Nov, local date

High14°Clikely 12°C to 15°C
Low10°Clikely 9°C to 11°C
  • 78% chance of rain

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Shanghai to Tokyo flights today

same route · Spring Airlines
9C851departs 19:10

If 9C8515 is cancelled, this is the other Spring Airlines nonstop flight from Shanghai to Tokyo on the same day, with scheduled departure times in PVG local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How 9C8515 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for 9C8515 across the PVG and HND boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~6 min early. Based on 10 confirmed landings · 6/10 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how 9C8515 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-09PVG 21:10HND 01:05 02:06 (+61)
11-08PVG 21:10 22:47 (+97)HND 01:05 02:06 (+61)
11-06PVG 21:10 21:23 (+13)HND 01:05 00:39 (−26)
11-04PVG 21:10 21:56 (+46)HND 01:05 01:23 (+18)
11-02PVG 21:10 21:22 (+12)HND 01:05 00:38 (−27)
11-01PVG 21:10 21:20 (+10)HND 01:05 00:43 (−22)
10-30PVG 21:10 21:26 (+16)HND 01:05 00:34 (−31)
10-28PVG 21:10 22:07 (+57)HND 01:05 01:37 (+32)
10-26PVG 21:10 21:31 (+21)HND 01:05 01:15 (+10)
10-25PVG HND 01:05 00:43 (−22)

Board clocks recorded as PVG and HND published them.

Planning around 9C8515? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: 9C8515 Shanghai to Tokyo on-time performance, measured from the PVG and HND airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/9C8515
How we measure this →