AA4415American Airlines · RDU → ORD
live · 57m ago
Route confirmed American Airlines

AA4415 Raleigh/DurhamRDU · 13:52 ChicagoORD · 15:29

AA4415 by American Airlines flies from Raleigh/Durham (RDU) to Chicago (ORD) for the Sat, Oct 31 departure.

Right nowExpected · today · as of 12:44
13:52

departs RDU · on schedule

Typical gate push+39 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival+7 minmedian over 4 operations
Wins back in air~32 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time →

Where the minutes go

last 4 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-30
+18 gate · −14 arrival
10-29
+86 gate · +43 arrival
10-28
+30 gate · −10 arrival
10-26
+47 gate · +24 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The route today

live boards
RDURaleigh/DurhamOn-time likelyRDU delay board →
ORDChicagoOn-time likelyORD delay board →
RDU→ORDevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
39%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.9%Chance of cancellation
+9 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at RDU and ORD are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Raleigh/Durham to Chicago with American Airlines · Sun 1 Nov, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
8.9%0.7× usual

No cancellation outlook here: this airport's board does not publish cancellations reliably.

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 6 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Raleigh/Durham to Chicago flights today

same route · American Airlines
AA2849departs 06:00
AA2123departs 09:30
AA4486departs 13:53
AA2949departs 15:39
AA4417departs 16:29
AA1294departs 20:25

If AA4415 is cancelled, these are the other American Airlines nonstop flights from Raleigh/Durham to Chicago on the same day, with scheduled departure times in RDU local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How AA4415 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AA4415 across the RDU and ORD boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~7 min late. Based on 4 confirmed landings · 2/4 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AA4415 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-30RDU 13:52 14:10 (+18)ORD 15:29 15:15 (−14)
10-29RDU 13:52 15:18 (+86)ORD 15:29 16:12 (+43)
10-28RDU 13:52 14:22 (+30)ORD 15:29 15:19 (−10)
10-26RDU 13:52 14:39 (+47)ORD 15:29 15:53 (+24)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N418YX, N122HQ, N106HQ, N117HQ.

Board clocks recorded as RDU and ORD published them.

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AA4415 Raleigh/Durham to Chicago on-time performance, measured from the RDU and ORD airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AA4415
How we measure this →