AA4686American Airlines · JFK → RDU
live · 39m ago
Route confirmed American Airlines

AA4686 New YorkJFK · 11:10 Raleigh/DurhamRDU · 13:13

AA4686 by American Airlines flies from New York (JFK) to Raleigh/Durham (RDU) for the Tue, Oct 27 departure.

Right nowLanded in Raleigh/Durham · today
13:01

arrived at RDU · 12 min early

Typical gate push−8 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−42 minmedian over 3 operations
Wins back in air~34 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time →

Where the minutes go

last 3 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-27
−8 gate · −12 arrival
10-26
−7 gate · −42 arrival
10-25
−9 gate · −43 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The route today

live boards
JFKNew YorkOn-time likelyJFK delay board →
RDURaleigh/DurhamOn-time likelyRDU delay board →
JFK→RDUevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
39%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.0%Chance of cancellation
+6 minAvg hub delay right now

Conditions at JFK and RDU are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

New York to Raleigh/Durham with American Airlines · Wed 28 Oct, local date

Outlook: below usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.9%0.2× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
6.1%0.5× usual

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 3 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other New York to Raleigh/Durham flights today

same route · American Airlines
AA4377departs 08:29
AA4804departs 17:30
AA4573departs 21:40

If AA4686 is cancelled, these are the other American Airlines nonstop flights from New York to Raleigh/Durham on the same day, with scheduled departure times in JFK local time. Most flights posting a delay still operate — rebooking usually only beats a very large posted delay. Every airline on this route →

How AA4686 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AA4686 across the JFK and RDU boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Early read — pattern not clear yet. Only 3 completed legs so far: left about 8 min early but landed about 36 min early. Not enough to call it.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AA4686 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-27JFK 11:10 11:02 (−8)RDU 13:13 13:01 (−12)
10-26JFK 11:10 11:03 (−7)RDU 13:13 12:31 (−42)
10-25JFK 11:10 11:01 (−9)RDU 13:13 12:30 (−43)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N410YX, N135HQ.

Board clocks recorded as JFK and RDU published them.

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — AA4686 New York to Raleigh/Durham on-time performance, measured from the JFK and RDU airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AA4686
How we measure this →