AA5870American Airlines · BUF → PHL
live · 44m ago
Route confirmed American Airlines

AA5870 BuffaloBUF · 18:38 PhiladelphiaPHL · 01:08

AA5870 by American Airlines flies from Buffalo (BUF) to Philadelphia (PHL) for the Tue, Oct 27 departure.

Right nowEn route to Philadelphia · off blocks 18:39 · 1 min late
En route

en route from BUF to PHL

En routeAA5870 · position estimated
BUFBuffaloPHLPhiladelphia
Estimated from the boards

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 18:39.

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-28
+1 gate
10-27
+1 gate
10-26
+22 gate
10-25
+21 gate
10-24
+0 gate · −35 arrival
10-23
+75 gate
10-22
+1 gate

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −31 min · 0 cancelled · 16 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
BUFBuffaloOn-time likelyBUF delay board →
PHLPhiladelphiaOn-time likelyPHL delay board →
BUF→PHLevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
40%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.4%Chance of cancellation
+9 minAvg hub delay right now

Conditions at BUF and PHL are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Buffalo to Philadelphia with American Airlines · Thu 29 Oct, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
16%1.1× usual

Forecast weather: 83% chance of rain at Buffalo; 28% chance of fog at Philadelphia

No cancellation outlook here: this airport's board does not publish cancellations reliably.

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 5 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Buffalo to Philadelphia flights today

same route · American Airlines
AA5799departs 06:00
AA6131departs 07:00
AA5868departs 10:39
AA5800departs 13:11
AA5804departs 14:52
AA5809departs 17:17

If AA5870 is cancelled, these are the other American Airlines nonstop flights from Buffalo to Philadelphia on the same day, with scheduled departure times in BUF local time. Most flights posting a delay still operate — rebooking usually only beats a very large posted delay. Every airline on this route →

How AA5870 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AA5870 across the BUF and PHL boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~31 min early. Based on 3 confirmed landings · 3/3 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AA5870 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-28BUF 18:38 18:39 (+1)PHL
10-27BUF 18:38 18:39 (+1)PHL
10-26BUF 19:35 19:57 (+22)PHL
10-25BUF 19:35 19:56 (+21)PHL
10-24BUF 19:35 (+0)PHL 01:08 00:33 (−35)
10-23BUF 19:35 20:50 (+75)PHL
10-22BUF 19:35 19:36 (+1)PHL
10-21BUF 19:35 19:53 (+18)PHL
10-20BUF 19:35 (+0)PHL 01:08 00:37 (−31)
10-19BUF 19:35 19:37 (+2)PHL 01:08 00:37 (−31)
10-18BUF 19:35 19:47 (+12)PHL
10-17BUF 19:35 19:55 (+20)PHL
10-16BUF 19:35 21:08 (+93)PHL
10-15BUF 19:35 19:55 (+20)PHL
10-14BUF 19:35 19:39 (+4)PHL
10-13BUF PHL 01:08 01:01 (−7)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N663AR, N653AE, N696AE, N900AE.

Board clocks recorded as BUF and PHL published them.

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — AA5870 Buffalo to Philadelphia on-time performance, measured from the BUF and PHL airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AA5870
How we measure this →