AV154Avianca · AEP → BOG
live · 59m ago
Route confirmed Avianca

AV154 Buenos AiresAEP · 07:00 BogotaBOG · 11:30

AV154 by Avianca flies from Buenos Aires (AEP) to Bogota (BOG) for the Sat, Oct 31 departure.

Right nowEn route to Bogota · off blocks 07:09 · 9 min late
En route

en route from AEP to BOG

En routeAV154 · position estimated
AEPBuenos AiresBOGBogota
Estimated from the boards

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 07:09 · typical taxi-out at AEP ≈ 6 min. No receiver coverage over open ocean.

⚖ AV154 typically leaves +15 and lands −9. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+15 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−9 minmedian over 15 operations
Wins back in air~24 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 15tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-31
+9 gate · −6 arrival
10-30
+27 gate · +2 arrival
10-29
+18 gate · −5 arrival
10-28
+20 gate · +18 arrival
10-27
+21 gate · +8 arrival
10-26
+23 gate · −9 arrival
10-25
+10 gate · −26 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −9 min · 0 cancelled · 15 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
AEPBuenos AiresOn-time likelyAEP delay board →
BOGBogotaOn-time likelyBOG delay board →
AEP→BOGevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
31%Chance of 15+ min delay
2.1%Chance of cancellation
+5 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at AEP and BOG are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Buenos Aires to Bogota with Avianca · Sun 1 Nov, local date

Outlook: elevated
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.7%4.9× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
13%1.6× usual

Forecast weather: 45% chance of thunder and 85% chance of rain at Buenos Aires; 36% chance of thunder and 88% chance of rain at Bogota

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 1 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

How AV154 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AV154 across the AEP and BOG boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~7 min early. Based on 14 confirmed landings · 13/14 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AV154 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-31AEP 07:00 07:09 (+9)BOG 11:30 11:24 (−6)
10-30AEP 07:00 07:27 (+27)BOG 11:30 11:32 (+2)
10-29AEP 07:00 07:18 (+18)BOG 11:30 11:25 (−5)
10-28AEP 07:00 07:20 (+20)BOG 11:30 11:48 (+18)
10-27AEP 07:00 07:21 (+21)BOG 11:30 11:38 (+8)
10-26AEP 07:00 07:23 (+23)BOG 11:30 11:21 (−9)
10-25AEP 07:00 07:10 (+10)BOG 11:30 11:04 (−26)
10-24AEP 07:00 07:10 (+10)BOG 11:30 11:24 (−6)
10-23AEP 07:00 07:24 (+24)BOG 11:30 11:25 (−5)
10-22AEP 07:00 07:15 (+15)BOG 11:30 11:11 (−19)
10-21AEP 07:00 07:05 (+5)BOG 11:30 11:10 (−20)
10-20AEP 07:00 07:10 (+10)BOG 11:30 11:18 (−12)
10-19AEP 07:00 07:23 (+23)BOG 11:30 11:18 (−12)
10-18AEP 07:00 07:04 (+4)BOG 11:30 11:05 (−25)
10-17AEP 07:00 07:12 (+12)BOG 11:30 11:05 (−25)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N963AV, N818AV, HK-5390, HK5390.

Board clocks recorded as AEP and BOG published them.

Planning around AV154? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AV154 Buenos Aires to Bogota on-time performance, measured from the AEP and BOG airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AV154
How we measure this →