AV204Avianca · BOG → YYZ
live · 2h ago
Route confirmed Avianca

AV204 BogotaBOG · 16:15 TorontoYYZ · 23:30

AV204 by Avianca flies from Bogota (BOG) to Toronto (YYZ).

Right nowNext departure today Operates daily
16:15

scheduled from BOG

⚖ AV204 typically leaves +18 and lands −21. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+18 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−21 minmedian over 8 operations
Wins back in air~39 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 10tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-28
+47 gate · +0 arrival
10-26
−2 gate · +0 arrival
10-25
+0 gate · −36 arrival
10-24
+18 gate · −22 arrival
10-23
−24 arrival
10-20
+20 gate
10-18
−12 gate

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −21 min · 0 cancelled · 10 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
BOGBogotaOn-time likelyBOG delay board →
YYZTorontoOn-time likelyYYZ delay board →
BOG→YYZevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
35%Chance of 15+ min delay
4.8%Chance of cancellation
+9 minAvg hub delay right now

Driven mainly by YYZ (Toronto), currently flying VFR (visual). For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Bogota to Toronto with Avianca · Thu 29 Oct, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.7%2.6× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
1.7%3.0× usual

Forecast weather: 38% chance of thunder and 86% chance of rain at Bogota

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 2 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Bogota to Toronto flights today

same route · Avianca
AV254departs 00:05

If AV204 is cancelled, this is the other Avianca nonstop flight from Bogota to Toronto on the same day, with scheduled departure times in BOG local time. Most flights posting a delay still operate — rebooking usually only beats a very large posted delay. Every airline on this route →

How AV204 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AV204 across the BOG and YYZ boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~20 min early. Based on 5 confirmed landings · 5/5 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AV204 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-28BOG 16:15 17:02 (+47)YYZ 23:30 (+0)
10-26BOG 16:00 15:58 (−2)YYZ 23:20 (+0)
10-25BOG 16:00 (+0)YYZ 23:20 22:44 (−36)
10-24BOG 16:10 16:28 (+18)YYZ 23:30 23:08 (−22)
10-23BOG YYZ 23:30 23:06 (−24)
10-20BOG 16:15 16:35 (+20)YYZ
10-18BOG 16:15 16:03 (−12)YYZ
10-17BOG 16:15 (+0)YYZ 23:30 23:09 (−21)
10-16BOG YYZ 23:30 23:04 (−26)
10-14BOG 16:15 17:02 (+47)YYZ 23:30 (+0)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N913AV, HK-5388, N762AV, N930AV.

Board clocks recorded as BOG and YYZ published them.

Planning around AV204? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — AV204 Bogota to Toronto on-time performance, measured from the BOG and YYZ airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AV204
How we measure this →