AV231Avianca · SJU → MDE
live · 2h ago
Route confirmed Avianca

AV231 San JuanSJU · 16:35 MedellínMDE · 18:20

AV231 by Avianca flies from San Juan (SJU) to Medellín (MDE) for the Wed, Oct 28 departure.

Right nowAwaiting arrival in Medellín · off blocks 16:39 · 4 min late
18:01

estimated arrival at MDE · local time · past this estimate · waiting on the board

En routeAV231 · position estimated
SJUSan JuanMDEMedellín
Estimated from the boardsarr 18:01

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 16:39.

⚖ AV231 typically leaves +4 and lands −22. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+4 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−22 minmedian over 12 operations
Wins back in air~26 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 12tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-29
+4 gate · −19 arrival
10-28
+4 gate · −23 arrival
10-27
−4 gate · −22 arrival
10-26
+5 gate · −22 arrival
10-25
+1 gate · −22 arrival
10-24
+1 gate · −24 arrival
10-22
+15 gate · −21 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −22 min · 0 cancelled · 12 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
SJUSan JuanOn-time likelySJU delay board →
MDEMedellínHigh riskMDE delay board →
SJU→MDEevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
45%Chance of 15+ min delay
0.7%Chance of cancellation
+23 minAvg hub delay right now

Conditions at SJU and MDE are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at Medellín

Forecast

Thu 29 Oct, local date

High23°Clikely 21°C to 24°C
Low14°Clikely 13°C to 15°C
  • 47% chance of thunder
  • 91% chance of rain

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

How AV231 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AV231 across the SJU and MDE boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually departs on time. Based on 12 confirmed departures · 11/12 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AV231 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-29SJU 16:35 16:39 (+4)MDE 18:20 18:01 (−19)
10-28SJU 16:35 16:39 (+4)MDE 18:20 17:57 (−23)
10-27SJU 16:35 16:31 (−4)MDE 18:20 17:58 (−22)
10-26SJU 16:35 16:40 (+5)MDE 18:20 17:58 (−22)
10-25SJU 16:35 16:36 (+1)MDE 18:20 17:58 (−22)
10-24SJU 16:40 16:41 (+1)MDE 18:25 18:01 (−24)
10-22SJU 16:40 16:55 (+15)MDE 18:25 18:04 (−21)
10-21SJU 16:40 17:04 (+24)MDE 18:25 18:07 (−18)
10-20SJU 16:40 16:41 (+1)MDE 18:25 18:07 (−18)
10-18SJU 16:40 16:44 (+4)MDE 18:25 18:04 (−21)
10-17SJU 16:40 16:42 (+2)MDE 18:25 18:03 (−22)
10-16SJU 16:40 16:39 (−1)MDE 18:25 18:01 (−24)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N477AV, N688TA, N957AV, N740AV.

Board clocks recorded as SJU and MDE published them.

Planning around AV231? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — AV231 San Juan to Medellín on-time performance, measured from the SJU and MDE airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AV231
How we measure this →