AV86Avianca · GRU → BOG
updated 1h ago
Route confirmed Avianca

AV86 São PauloGRU · 07:55 BogotaBOG · 11:55

AV86 by Avianca flies from São Paulo (GRU) to Bogota (BOG) for the Wed, Nov 4 departure.

Right nowExpected in Bogota · Delayed
13:07

arrival expected at BOG · 72 min late

⚖ AV86 typically leaves +21 and lands −16. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+21 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−16 minmedian over 14 operations
Wins back in air~37 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 14tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+49+99+148 min
11-04
+148 gate · +72 arrival
11-03
+9 gate · −42 arrival
11-02
+9 gate · −37 arrival
11-01
+37 gate · +4 arrival
10-31
+7 gate · −16 arrival
10-30
+31 gate · −8 arrival
10-29
+16 gate · −14 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −16 min · 0 cancelled · 14 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
GRUSão PauloOn-time likelyGRU delay board →
BOGBogotaOn-time likelyBOG delay board →
GRU→BOGevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
25%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.5%Chance of cancellation
+4 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at GRU and BOG are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at São Paulo

Forecast

Thu 5 Nov, local date

High28°Clikely 25°C to 30°C
Low20°Clikely 18°C to 21°C
  • 63% chance of thunder
  • 92% chance of rain

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Bogota

Forecast

Thu 5 Nov, local date

High20°Clikely 18°C to 20°C
Low9°Clikely 8°C to 11°C
  • 31% chance of thunder
  • 87% chance of rain

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other São Paulo to Bogota flights today

same route · Avianca
AV248departs 00:25
AV160departs 02:25
AV184departs 17:25

If AV86 is cancelled, these are the other Avianca nonstop flights from São Paulo to Bogota on the same day, with scheduled departure times in GRU local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How AV86 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AV86 across the GRU and BOG boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~19 min early. Based on 12 confirmed landings · 12/12 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AV86 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-04GRU 07:55 10:23 (+148)BOG 11:55 13:07 (+72)
11-03GRU 07:55 08:04 (+9)BOG 11:55 11:13 (−42)
11-02GRU 07:55 08:04 (+9)BOG 11:55 11:18 (−37)
11-01GRU 07:55 08:32 (+37)BOG 11:55 11:59 (+4)
10-31GRU 07:55 08:02 (+7)BOG 11:55 11:39 (−16)
10-30GRU 07:55 08:26 (+31)BOG 11:55 11:47 (−8)
10-29GRU 07:55 08:11 (+16)BOG 11:55 11:41 (−14)
10-28GRU 07:55 08:06 (+11)BOG 11:55 11:25 (−30)
10-27GRU 07:55 08:19 (+24)BOG 11:55 11:32 (−23)
10-26GRU 07:55 08:24 (+29)BOG 11:55 11:39 (−16)
10-25GRU 07:55 08:13 (+18)BOG 11:55 11:18 (−37)
10-24GRU 07:35 08:11 (+36)BOG 11:25 11:20 (−5)
10-23GRU 07:35 08:02 (+27)BOG 11:25 11:09 (−16)
10-22GRU 07:35 07:43 (+8)BOG 11:25 10:54 (−31)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N794AV, N796AV, N785AV, N799AV.

Board clocks recorded as GRU and BOG published them.

Planning around AV86? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AV86 São Paulo to Bogota on-time performance, measured from the GRU and BOG airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AV86
How we measure this →