CM404 TocumenPTY · 22:29 WashingtonIAD · 04:20
CM404 by Copa Airlines flies from Tocumen (PTY) to Washington (IAD) for the Thu, Oct 29 departure.
en route from PTY to IAD
board checked 51m ago · checking again in 45s
Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 22:29. No receiver coverage over open ocean.
Where the minutes go
last 6 operations · gate push → arrivalThe bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.
The last 30 days
arrival outcome per operationmedian arrival −9 min · 0 cancelled · 6 operations tracked
The route today
live boardsWeather lens
Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight
Measured, 90-day sampleConditions at PTY and IAD are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.
Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →
Tomorrow at Washington
ForecastSat 31 Oct, local date
- Chance a departure is cancelled
- 1.5%usually 2.1%
- Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
- 7.1%usually 10%
Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Based on about 360 departures a day. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.
When it flies
scheduled departuresEach mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.
Other Tocumen to Washington flights today
same route · Copa AirlinesIf CM404 is cancelled, these are the other Copa Airlines nonstop flights from Tocumen to Washington on the same day, with scheduled departure times in PTY local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →
How CM404 actually runs
Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for CM404 across the PTY and IAD boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands on time. Based on 4 confirmed landings · 4/4 within 15 min of schedule.
The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how CM404 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.
How this operation is measured
Board log
scheduled → actual, per operationAircraft
Recent tails: HP-1842CMP, HP-9926CMP, HP-9819CMP, HP-1824CMP.
Board clocks recorded as PTY and IAD published them.
Planning around CM404? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure
Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.
Pro Flight Search: CM404 Tocumen to Washington on-time performance, measured from the PTY and IAD airport boards.
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/CM404
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