CM451Copa Airlines · SJU → PTY
live · 10m ago
Route confirmed Copa Airlines

CM451 San JuanSJU · 05:34 TocumenPTY · 07:29

CM451 by Copa Airlines flies from San Juan (SJU) to Tocumen (PTY).

Right nowNext departure tomorrow Operates daily
05:32

scheduled from SJU

⚖ CM451 typically leaves +9 and lands −17. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+9 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−17 minmedian over 11 operations
Wins back in air~26 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 11tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-03
+11 gate · −5 arrival
11-02
+21 gate · −10 arrival
11-01
+7 gate · −17 arrival
10-31
+7 gate · −19 arrival
10-30
+13 gate · −17 arrival
10-29
+22 gate · −8 arrival
10-28
+16 gate · −9 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −17 min · 0 cancelled · 11 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
SJUSan JuanOn-time likelySJU delay board →
PTYTocumenOn-time likelyPTY delay board →
SJU→PTYevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
37%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.1%Chance of cancellation
+24 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at SJU and PTY are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at San Juan

Forecast

Wed 4 Nov, local date

High32°Clikely 31°C to 32°C
Low26°Clikely 25°C to 27°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Tocumen

Forecast

Wed 4 Nov, local date

High30°Clikely 29°C to 30°C
Low24°Clikely 23°C to 25°C
  • 48% chance of thunder
  • 89% chance of rain

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other San Juan to Tocumen flights today

same route · Copa Airlines
CM6143departs 11:46
CM189departs 15:14
CM143departs 18:16

If CM451 is cancelled, these are the other Copa Airlines nonstop flights from San Juan to Tocumen on the same day, with scheduled departure times in SJU local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How CM451 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for CM451 across the SJU and PTY boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~17 min early. Based on 9 confirmed landings · 9/9 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how CM451 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-03SJU 05:34 05:45 (+11)PTY 07:29 07:24 (−5)
11-02SJU 05:34 05:55 (+21)PTY 07:29 07:19 (−10)
11-01SJU 05:34 05:41 (+7)PTY 07:29 07:12 (−17)
10-31SJU 05:32 05:39 (+7)PTY 07:29 07:10 (−19)
10-30SJU 05:32 05:45 (+13)PTY 07:29 07:12 (−17)
10-29SJU 05:32 05:54 (+22)PTY 07:29 07:21 (−8)
10-28SJU 05:32 05:48 (+16)PTY 07:29 07:20 (−9)
10-27SJU 05:32 05:41 (+9)PTY 07:29 07:12 (−17)
10-26SJU 05:32 05:35 (+3)PTY 07:29 07:18 (−11)
10-25SJU 05:32 05:35 (+3)PTY 07:29 07:10 (−19)
10-24SJU 05:33 05:32 (−1)PTY 07:30 06:56 (−34)

Aircraft

Recent tails: HP-1844, HP-1841, HP-1828, HP-1823.

Board clocks recorded as SJU and PTY published them.

Planning around CM451? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: CM451 San Juan to Tocumen on-time performance, measured from the SJU and PTY airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/CM451
How we measure this →