FM869Shanghai Airlines · PVG → BUD
live · 15m ago
Route confirmed Shanghai Airlines

FM869 ShanghaiPVG · 02:20 BudapestBUD · 08:05

FM869 by Shanghai Airlines flies from Shanghai (PVG) to Budapest (BUD) for the Sat, Oct 17 departure.

Right nowEn route to Budapest · off blocks 02:35 · 15 min late
07:25

estimated arrival at BUD · local time · ~2h 02m from now

En routeFM869 · position estimated
PVGShanghaiBUDBudapest
Estimated from the boardsarr 07:25

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 02:35. No receiver coverage over open ocean.

⚖ FM869 typically leaves +8 and lands −39. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+8 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−39 minmedian over 15 operations
Wins back in air~47 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 15tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-17
+15 gate · −40 arrival
10-16
+8 gate · −43 arrival
10-15
+14 gate · −39 arrival
10-14
+2 gate · −44 arrival
10-13
+15 gate · −17 arrival
10-12
+8 gate · −20 arrival
10-11
+5 gate · −21 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −39 min · 0 cancelled · 15 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
PVGShanghaiModerate riskPVG delay board →
BUDBudapestModerate riskBUD delay board →
PVG→BUDevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
35%Chance of 15+ min delay
0.9%Chance of cancellation
+7 minAvg hub delay right now

Conditions at PVG and BUD are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

How FM869 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for FM869 across the PVG and BUD boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~39 min early. Based on 13 confirmed landings · 13/13 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how FM869 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-17PVG 02:20 02:35 (+15)BUD 08:05 07:25 (−40)
10-16PVG 02:20 02:28 (+8)BUD 08:05 07:22 (−43)
10-15PVG 02:20 02:34 (+14)BUD 08:05 07:26 (−39)
10-14PVG 02:20 02:22 (+2)BUD 08:05 07:21 (−44)
10-13PVG 02:20 02:35 (+15)BUD 08:05 07:48 (−17)
10-12PVG 02:20 02:28 (+8)BUD 08:05 07:45 (−20)
10-11PVG 02:20 02:25 (+5)BUD 08:05 07:44 (−21)
10-10PVG 02:20 02:26 (+6)BUD 08:05 07:30 (−35)
10-09PVG 02:20 02:17 (−3)BUD 08:05 07:29 (−36)
10-08PVG 02:20 02:21 (+1)BUD 08:05 07:26 (−39)
10-07PVG 02:20 02:38 (+18)BUD 08:05 07:57 (−8)
10-06PVG 02:20 02:23 (+3)BUD 08:05 07:25 (−40)
10-05PVG 02:20 02:34 (+14)BUD 08:05 07:16 (−49)
10-04PVG 02:20 02:36 (+16)BUD 08:05 07:26 (−39)
10-03PVG 02:20 02:37 (+17)BUD 08:05 07:19 (−46)

Board clocks recorded as PVG and BUD published them.

Planning around FM869? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — FM869 Shanghai to Budapest on-time performance, measured from the PVG and BUD airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/FM869
How we measure this →