IJ407Spring Airlines Japan · NRT → CTS
live · 44m ago
Route confirmed Spring Airlines Japan

IJ407 TokyoNRT · 22:18 SapporoCTS

IJ407 by Spring Airlines Japan flies from Tokyo (NRT) to Sapporo (CTS).

Right nowNext departure today Operates daily
22:06

scheduled from NRT

Typical gate push+0 minmedian posted departure
Cancellation0 in 11tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-28
+0 gate
10-26
+0 gate
10-24
+0 gate
10-23
+0 gate
10-22
+0 gate
10-21
+0 gate
10-19
+0 gate

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

0 cancelled · 11 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
NRTTokyoOn-time likelyNRT delay board →
CTSSapporoHigh riskCTS delay board →
NRT→CTSevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
32%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.0%Chance of cancellation
+4 minAvg hub delay right now

Driven mainly by CTS (Sapporo), currently flying MVFR (marginal visual). For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Tokyo to Sapporo with Spring Airlines Japan · Thu 29 Oct, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
1.1%0.9× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
1.9%1.0× usual

Forecast weather: 48% chance of snow and 86% chance of rain at Sapporo

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 2 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Tokyo to Sapporo flights today

same route · Spring Airlines Japan
IJ831departs 07:20
IJ833departs 12:50
IJ835departs 16:50

If IJ407 is cancelled, these are the other Spring Airlines Japan nonstop flights from Tokyo to Sapporo on the same day, with scheduled departure times in NRT local time. Most flights posting a delay still operate — rebooking usually only beats a very large posted delay. Every airline on this route →

How IJ407 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for IJ407 across the NRT and CTS boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually departs on time. Based on 11 confirmed departures · 11/11 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how IJ407 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-28NRT 22:18 (+0)CTS
10-26NRT 22:06 (+0)CTS
10-24NRT 22:07 (+0)CTS
10-23NRT 22:09 (+0)CTS
10-22NRT 22:21 (+0)CTS
10-21NRT 22:18 (+0)CTS
10-19NRT 22:17 (+0)CTS
10-18NRT 22:08 (+0)CTS
10-17NRT 22:06 (+0)CTS
10-16NRT 22:16 22:30 (+14)CTS
10-13NRT 22:18 (+0)CTS

Aircraft

Recent tails: JA82YA, JA81YA, JA83YA.

Board clocks recorded as NRT and CTS published them.

Planning around IJ407? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — IJ407 Tokyo to Sapporo on-time performance, measured from the NRT and CTS airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/IJ407
How we measure this →