MU538China Eastern Airlines · HND → SHA
updated 29m ago
Route confirmed China Eastern Airlines

MU538 TokyoHND · 14:30 ShanghaiSHA · 17:20

MU538 by China Eastern Airlines flies from Tokyo (HND) to Shanghai (SHA) for the Sun, Nov 1 departure.

Right nowLanded in Shanghai · today
16:41

arrived at SHA · 39 min early

⚖ MU538 typically leaves +8 and lands −21. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+8 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−21 minmedian over 10 operations
Wins back in air~29 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 10tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-01
+5 gate · −39 arrival
10-31
−4 gate · −25 arrival
10-30
−8 gate · −17 arrival
10-29
+11 gate · −10 arrival
10-28
+5 gate · −15 arrival
10-27
+12 gate · −27 arrival
10-26
+10 gate · −30 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −21 min · 0 cancelled · 10 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
HNDTokyoOn-time likelyHND delay board →
SHAShanghaiOn-time likelySHA delay board →
HND→SHAevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
36%Chance of 15+ min delay
2.6%Chance of cancellation
+8 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by HND (Tokyo), currently flying VFR (visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Tokyo to Shanghai with China Eastern Airlines · Mon 2 Nov, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
1.4%1.1× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
3.9%1.1× usual

Forecast weather: 75% chance of rain at Tokyo; 74% chance of rain at Shanghai

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 1 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

How MU538 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for MU538 across the HND and SHA boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~24 min early. Based on 9 confirmed landings · 9/9 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how MU538 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-01HND 14:30 14:35 (+5)SHA 17:20 16:41 (−39)
10-31HND 14:30 14:26 (−4)SHA 17:20 16:55 (−25)
10-30HND 14:30 14:22 (−8)SHA 17:20 17:03 (−17)
10-29HND 14:30 14:41 (+11)SHA 17:20 17:10 (−10)
10-28HND 14:30 14:35 (+5)SHA 17:20 17:05 (−15)
10-27HND 14:30 14:42 (+12)SHA 17:20 16:53 (−27)
10-26HND 14:30 14:40 (+10)SHA 17:20 16:50 (−30)
10-25HND 14:30 23:24 (+534)SHA 17:20 22:32 (+312)
10-24HND 14:30 14:42 (+12)SHA 17:20 16:56 (−24)
10-23HND 14:30 14:33 (+3)SHA 17:20 17:01 (−19)

Board clocks recorded as HND and SHA published them.

Planning around MU538? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: MU538 Tokyo to Shanghai on-time performance, measured from the HND and SHA airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/MU538
How we measure this →