QF409Sunstate Airlines · SYD → MEL
live · 3m ago
Route confirmed Sunstate Airlines

QF409 SydneySYD · 07:00 MelbourneMEL · 08:35

QF409 by Sunstate Airlines flies from Sydney (SYD) to Melbourne (MEL) for the Thu, Oct 29 departure.

Right nowBoarding · today · as of 06:37
07:00

departs SYD · on schedule

Aircraft is still on the ground at SYD · 13 min after scheduled departure

⚖ QF409 typically leaves +0 and lands −11. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+0 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−11 minmedian over 10 operations
Wins back in air~11 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 10tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-28
+0 gate · −16 arrival
10-27
+0 gate · −13 arrival
10-26
+0 gate · −19 arrival
10-25
+0 gate · −11 arrival
10-22
+0 gate · +9 arrival
10-21
+0 gate · −11 arrival
10-20
+0 gate · −14 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −11 min · 0 cancelled · 10 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
SYDSydneyModerate riskSYD delay board →
MELMelbourneOn-time likelyMEL delay board →
SYD→MELevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
53%Chance of 15+ min delay
4.9%Chance of cancellation
+20 minAvg hub delay right now

Driven mainly by MEL (Melbourne), currently flying MVFR (marginal visual). For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Sydney to Melbourne with Sunstate Airlines · Fri 30 Oct, local date

Outlook: below usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
1.8%0.7× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
3.2%0.9× usual

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 29 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Sydney to Melbourne flights today

same route · Sunstate Airlines
QF1229departs 06:00
QF401departs 06:00
QF405departs 06:25
QF407departs 06:45
QF94departs 07:20
QF413departs 07:25

If QF409 is cancelled, these are the other Sunstate Airlines nonstop flights from Sydney to Melbourne on the same day, with scheduled departure times in SYD local time. Most flights posting a delay still operate — rebooking usually only beats a very large posted delay. Every airline on this route →

How QF409 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for QF409 across the SYD and MEL boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands on time. Based on 10 confirmed landings · 10/10 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how QF409 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-28SYD 07:00 (+0)MEL 08:35 08:19 (−16)
10-27SYD 07:00 (+0)MEL 08:35 08:22 (−13)
10-26SYD 07:00 (+0)MEL 08:35 08:16 (−19)
10-25SYD 07:00 (+0)MEL 08:35 08:24 (−11)
10-22SYD 07:00 (+0)MEL 08:35 08:44 (+9)
10-21SYD 07:00 (+0)MEL 08:35 08:24 (−11)
10-20SYD 07:00 (+0)MEL 08:35 08:21 (−14)
10-19SYD 07:00 (+0)MEL 08:35 08:33 (−2)
10-16SYD 07:00 (+0)MEL 08:35 08:38 (+3)
10-15SYD 07:00 08:15 (+75)MEL 08:35 07:13 (−82)

Aircraft

Recent tails: VH-OGC, VH-OGF, VH-OGD, VH-OGE.

Board clocks recorded as SYD and MEL published them.

Planning around QF409? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — QF409 Sydney to Melbourne on-time performance, measured from the SYD and MEL airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/QF409
How we measure this →