TK45Turkish Airlines · CPT → IST
updated 36m ago
Route confirmed Turkish Airlines

TK45 Cape TownCPT · 17:15 IstanbulIST · 05:30

TK45 by Turkish Airlines flies from Cape Town (CPT) to Istanbul (IST) for the Sun, Nov 1 departure.

Right nowLanded in Istanbul · today
04:30

arrived at IST · 60 min early

⚖ TK45 typically leaves +3 and lands −50. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+3 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−50 minmedian over 10 operations
Wins back in air~53 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 10tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-01
+3 gate · −60 arrival
10-31
+7 gate · −60 arrival
10-30
+31 gate · −30 arrival
10-29
−3 gate · −60 arrival
10-28
+7 gate · −50 arrival
10-27
+14 gate · −45 arrival
10-26
−1 gate · −65 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −50 min · 0 cancelled · 10 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
CPTCape TownOn-time likelyCPT delay board →
ISTIstanbulHigh riskIST delay board →
CPT→ISTevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
33%Chance of 15+ min delay
4.5%Chance of cancellation
+7 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by CPT (Cape Town), currently flying VFR (visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Cape Town to Istanbul with Turkish Airlines · Mon 2 Nov, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
3.3%1.0× usual

Forecast weather: 34% chance of thunder and 95% chance of rain at Istanbul

No cancellation outlook here: this airport's board does not publish cancellations reliably.

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 1 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Cape Town to Istanbul flights today

same route · Turkish Airlines
TK47departs 00:55

If TK45 is cancelled, this is the other Turkish Airlines nonstop flight from Cape Town to Istanbul on the same day, with scheduled departure times in CPT local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How TK45 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for TK45 across the CPT and IST boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~50 min early. Based on 10 confirmed landings · 10/10 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how TK45 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-01CPT 17:15 17:18 (+3)IST 05:30 04:30 (−60)
10-31CPT 17:15 17:22 (+7)IST 05:30 04:30 (−60)
10-30CPT 17:15 17:46 (+31)IST 05:30 05:00 (−30)
10-29CPT 17:15 17:12 (−3)IST 05:30 04:30 (−60)
10-28CPT 17:15 17:22 (+7)IST 05:30 04:40 (−50)
10-27CPT 17:15 17:29 (+14)IST 05:30 04:45 (−45)
10-26CPT 17:15 17:14 (−1)IST 05:30 04:25 (−65)
10-25CPT 17:15 17:18 (+3)IST 05:30 04:40 (−50)
10-24CPT 16:35 16:32 (−3)IST 04:35 03:50 (−45)
10-23CPT IST 04:35 03:45 (−50)

Aircraft

Recent tails: TC-LGF, TC-LHA, TC-LGD, TC-LGY.

Board clocks recorded as CPT and IST published them.

Planning around TK45? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: TK45 Cape Town to Istanbul on-time performance, measured from the CPT and IST airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/TK45
How we measure this →