TO3015Transavia France · RAK → ORY
live · 54m ago
Route confirmed Transavia France

TO3015 MarrakeshRAK · 12:30 ParisORY · 17:45

TO3015 by Transavia France flies from Marrakesh (RAK) to Paris (ORY).

Right nowNext departure today Operates daily
09:05

scheduled from RAK

⚖ TO3015 typically leaves +10 and lands −2. The air wins minutes back.

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+31+61+92 min
10-28
+10 gate · −7 arrival
10-27
+20 gate · +7 arrival
10-26
+5 gate · −6 arrival
10-24
+15 gate · +51 arrival
10-23
+20 gate · +92 arrival
10-22
+15 gate · −2 arrival
10-21
+10 gate · −7 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −2 min · 0 cancelled · 13 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
RAKMarrakeshOn-time likelyRAK delay board →
ORYParisHigh riskORY delay board →
RAK→ORYevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
47%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.7%Chance of cancellation
+15 minAvg hub delay right now

Driven mainly by ORY (Paris), currently flying MVFR (marginal visual). For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Marrakesh to Paris with Transavia France · Thu 29 Oct, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.2%5.9× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
3.6%1.3× usual

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 5 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Marrakesh to Paris flights today

same route · Transavia France
TO3013departs 05:35
TO3125departs 05:35
TO9801departs 05:35
TO3127departs 06:00
TO9805departs 06:10
TO3011departs 08:30

If TO3015 is cancelled, these are the other Transavia France nonstop flights from Marrakesh to Paris on the same day, with scheduled departure times in RAK local time. Most flights posting a delay still operate — rebooking usually only beats a very large posted delay. Every airline on this route →

How TO3015 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for TO3015 across the RAK and ORY boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands on time. Based on 13 confirmed landings · 9/13 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how TO3015 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-28RAK 12:30 12:40 (+10)ORY 17:45 17:38 (−7)
10-27RAK 11:10 11:30 (+20)ORY 15:35 15:42 (+7)
10-26RAK 10:40 10:45 (+5)ORY 15:05 14:59 (−6)
10-24RAK 12:55 13:10 (+15)ORY 18:10 19:01 (+51)
10-23RAK 11:20 11:40 (+20)ORY 16:35 18:07 (+92)
10-22RAK 12:40 12:55 (+15)ORY 18:00 17:58 (−2)
10-21RAK 12:30 12:40 (+10)ORY 17:45 17:38 (−7)
10-19RAK 09:05 (+0)ORY 14:20 14:13 (−7)
10-18RAK 11:40 (+0)ORY 17:00 16:51 (−9)
10-17RAK 13:05 (+0)ORY 18:20 18:03 (−17)
10-16RAK 11:20 (+0)ORY 16:35 16:40 (+5)
10-15RAK 12:40 13:40 (+60)ORY 18:00 19:11 (+71)
10-14RAK 12:30 13:15 (+45)ORY 17:45 18:31 (+46)

Aircraft

Recent tails: F-GZHR, F-HXIF, F-HUYX, F-HUYQ.

Board clocks recorded as RAK and ORY published them.

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — TO3015 Marrakesh to Paris on-time performance, measured from the RAK and ORY airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/TO3015
How we measure this →