TO4781Transavia France · MAD → ORY
live · 8m ago
Route confirmed Transavia France

TO4781 MadridMAD · 08:00 ParisORY · 10:05

TO4781 by Transavia France flies from Madrid (MAD) to Paris (ORY) for the Sat, Nov 7 departure.

Right nowAwaiting arrival in Paris · off blocks 09:31 · 91 min late
10:05

estimated arrival at ORY · local time · past this estimate · waiting on the board

En routeTO4781 · position estimated
MADMadridORYParis
Estimated from the boardsarr 10:05

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 09:31.

Typical gate push+8 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−14 minmedian over 5 operations
Wins back in air~22 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time →

Where the minutes go

last 6 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+61+91 min
11-07
+91 gate
11-06
+1 gate · −12 arrival
11-05
+3 gate · −20 arrival
11-04
+7 gate · −18 arrival
11-03
+27 gate · +13 arrival
11-02
+8 gate · −14 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −14 min · 0 cancelled · 6 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
MADMadridOn-time likelyMAD delay board →
ORYParisModerate riskORY delay board →
MAD→ORYevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
65%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.4%Chance of cancellation
+39 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by ORY (Paris), currently flying LIFR (low instrument). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at Madrid

Forecast

Sun 8 Nov, local date

High18°Clikely 16°C to 19°C
Low6°Clikely 4°C to 9°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Paris

Forecast

Sun 8 Nov, local date

High10°Clikely 9°C to 12°C
Low3°Clikely 1°C to 6°C
  • 74% chance of fog

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Madrid to Paris flights today

same route · Transavia France
TO4631departs 09:05
TO4633departs 12:40
TO4637departs 12:50
TO4635departs 13:20
TO4639departs 20:45

If TO4781 is cancelled, these are the other Transavia France nonstop flights from Madrid to Paris on the same day, with scheduled departure times in MAD local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How TO4781 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for TO4781 across the MAD and ORY boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~15 min early. Based on 4 confirmed landings · 4/4 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how TO4781 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-07MAD 08:00 09:31 (+91)ORY 10:05
11-06MAD 08:00 08:01 (+1)ORY 10:05 09:53 (−12)
11-05MAD 06:45 06:48 (+3)ORY 08:50 08:30 (−20)
11-04MAD 06:45 06:52 (+7)ORY 08:50 08:32 (−18)
11-03MAD 06:45 07:12 (+27)ORY 08:50 09:03 (+13)
11-02MAD 06:45 06:53 (+8)ORY 08:50 08:36 (−14)

Aircraft

Recent tails: F-HUYJ, F-HUYY, F-GZHL, F-HUYG.

Board clocks recorded as MAD and ORY published them.

Planning around TO4781? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: TO4781 Madrid to Paris on-time performance, measured from the MAD and ORY airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/TO4781
How we measure this →