UA2861United Airlines · IAD → MCO
live · 23m ago
Route confirmed United Airlines

UA2861 WashingtonIAD · 15:47 OrlandoMCO · 18:15

UA2861 by United Airlines flies from Washington (IAD) to Orlando (MCO) for the Wed, Oct 21 departure.

Right nowEn route to Orlando · off blocks 15:55 · 8 min late
18:15

estimated arrival at MCO · local time · landing about now

En routeUA2861 · position estimated
IADWashingtonMCOOrlando
Estimated from the boardsarr 18:15

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 15:55 · typical taxi-out at IAD ≈ 8.7 min.

⚖ UA2861 typically leaves +16 and lands −19. The air wins minutes back.

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-22
+8 gate
10-21
+8 gate · −29 arrival
10-20
+16 gate · −17 arrival
10-19
+9 gate · −29 arrival
10-18
+11 gate · −37 arrival
10-17
+32 gate · −9 arrival
10-16
+18 gate · −14 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −19 min · 0 cancelled · 12 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
IADWashingtonOn-time likelyIAD delay board →
MCOOrlandoOn-time likelyMCO delay board →
IAD→MCOevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
34%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.8%Chance of cancellation
+4 minAvg hub delay right now

Conditions at IAD and MCO are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Washington to Orlando flights today

same route · United Airlines
UA379departs 09:00
UA2206departs 12:35
UA2463departs 17:45
UA689departs 22:33

If UA2861 is cancelled, these are the other United Airlines nonstop flights from Washington to Orlando on the same day, with scheduled departure times in IAD local time. Most flights posting a delay still operate — rebooking usually only beats a very large posted delay. Every airline on this route →

How UA2861 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for UA2861 across the IAD and MCO boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~19 min early. Based on 10 confirmed landings · 10/10 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how UA2861 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-22IAD 15:47 15:55 (+8)MCO 18:15
10-21IAD 15:47 15:55 (+8)MCO 18:15 17:46 (−29)
10-20IAD 15:47 16:03 (+16)MCO 18:15 17:58 (−17)
10-19IAD 15:47 15:56 (+9)MCO 18:15 17:46 (−29)
10-18IAD 15:47 15:58 (+11)MCO 18:15 17:38 (−37)
10-17IAD 15:47 16:19 (+32)MCO 18:15 18:06 (−9)
10-16IAD 15:47 16:05 (+18)MCO 18:15 18:01 (−14)
10-15IAD 15:47 15:57 (+10)MCO 18:15 17:49 (−26)
10-14IAD 15:47 16:00 (+13)MCO 18:15 17:52 (−23)
10-13IAD 15:47 16:15 (+28)MCO 18:15 17:59 (−16)
10-12IAD 15:47 16:09 (+22)MCO 18:15 17:56 (−19)
10-11IAD 15:47 16:10 (+23)MCO 18:15 18:05 (−10)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N37466, N69824, N37468, N34455.

Board clocks recorded as IAD and MCO published them.

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — UA2861 Washington to Orlando on-time performance, measured from the IAD and MCO airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/UA2861
How we measure this →