VS478Virgin Atlantic · LHR → CPT
live · 14m ago
Route confirmed Virgin Atlantic

VS478 LondonLHR · 22:30 Cape TownCPT · 12:05

VS478 by Virgin Atlantic flies from London (LHR) to Cape Town (CPT) for the Sat, Nov 7 departure.

Right nowExpected · today
22:30

departs LHR · on schedule

⚖ VS478 typically leaves +11 and lands −26. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+11 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−26 minmedian over 13 operations
Wins back in air~37 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 14tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-06
+15 gate
11-05
+27 gate · −6 arrival
11-04
+8 gate · −24 arrival
11-03
+5 gate · −18 arrival
11-02
+5 gate · −21 arrival
11-01
+8 gate · −30 arrival
10-31
+13 gate · −26 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −26 min · 0 cancelled · 14 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
LHRLondonHigh riskLHR delay board →
CPTCape TownOn-time likelyCPT delay board →
LHR→CPTevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
36%Chance of 15+ min delay
2.0%Chance of cancellation
+6 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by CPT (Cape Town), currently flying VFR (visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at London

Forecast

Sun 8 Nov, local date

High10°Clikely 8°C to 11°C
Low5°Clikely 3°C to 7°C
  • 58% chance of fog

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Cape Town

Forecast

Sun 8 Nov, local date

High26°Clikely 24°C to 28°C
Low12°Clikely 10°C to 14°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

How VS478 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for VS478 across the LHR and CPT boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~27 min early. Based on 12 confirmed landings · 12/12 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how VS478 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-06LHR 22:30 22:45 (+15)CPT 12:05
11-05LHR 22:30 22:57 (+27)CPT 12:05 11:59 (−6)
11-04LHR 22:30 22:38 (+8)CPT 12:05 11:41 (−24)
11-03LHR 22:30 22:35 (+5)CPT 12:05 11:47 (−18)
11-02LHR 22:30 22:35 (+5)CPT 12:05 11:44 (−21)
11-01LHR 22:30 22:38 (+8)CPT 12:05 11:35 (−30)
10-31LHR 22:30 22:43 (+13)CPT 12:05 11:39 (−26)
10-30LHR 22:30 22:48 (+18)CPT 12:05 11:36 (−29)
10-29LHR 22:30 22:36 (+6)CPT 12:05 11:18 (−47)
10-28LHR 22:30 22:28 (−2)CPT 12:05 11:08 (−57)
10-27LHR 22:30 22:31 (+1)CPT 12:05 11:33 (−32)
10-26LHR 22:30 22:45 (+15)CPT 12:05 11:50 (−15)
10-25LHR 22:30 23:02 (+32)CPT 12:05 11:33 (−32)
10-24LHR 18:55 19:45 (+50)CPT 07:30 07:08 (−22)

Aircraft

Recent tails: G-VSPY, G-VBOW, G-VBEL, G-VZIG.

Board clocks recorded as LHR and CPT published them.

Planning around VS478? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: VS478 London to Cape Town on-time performance, measured from the LHR and CPT airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/VS478
How we measure this →