EK407Emirates · MEL → DXB
live · 23m ago
Route confirmed Emirates

EK407 MelbourneMEL · 22:30 DubaiDXB · 05:40

EK407 by Emirates flies from Melbourne (MEL) to Dubai (DXB) for the Sat, Oct 31 departure.

Right nowEn route to Dubai · off blocks 22:38 · 8 min late
05:33

estimated arrival at DXB · local time · ~5h 01m from now

En routeEK407 · position estimated
MELMelbourneDXBDubai
Estimated from the boardsarr 05:33

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 22:38 · typical taxi-out at MEL ≈ 11 min. No receiver coverage over open ocean.

⚖ EK407 typically leaves +0 and lands −7. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+0 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−7 minmedian over 15 operations
Wins back in air~7 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 15tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-31
+8 gate · −7 arrival
10-30
+5 gate · −31 arrival
10-29
+18 gate · −7 arrival
10-28
+0 gate · −19 arrival
10-27
+25 gate · −22 arrival
10-26
+20 gate · −14 arrival
10-25
+0 gate · −14 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −7 min · 0 cancelled · 15 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
MELMelbourneOn-time likelyMEL delay board →
DXBDubaiOn-time likelyDXB delay board →
MEL→DXBevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
43%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.9%Chance of cancellation
+9 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at MEL and DXB are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Melbourne to Dubai with Emirates · Mon 2 Nov, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.4%2.0× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
2.9%2.3× usual

Forecast weather: 93% chance of rain at Melbourne

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 2 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Melbourne to Dubai flights today

same route · Emirates
EK2665departs 04:00
EK409departs 06:15

If EK407 is cancelled, these are the other Emirates nonstop flights from Melbourne to Dubai on the same day, with scheduled departure times in MEL local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How EK407 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for EK407 across the MEL and DXB boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~5 min early. Based on 12 confirmed landings · 10/12 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how EK407 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-31MEL 22:30 22:38 (+8)DXB 05:40 05:33 (−7)
10-30MEL 22:30 22:35 (+5)DXB 05:40 05:09 (−31)
10-29MEL 22:30 22:48 (+18)DXB 05:40 05:33 (−7)
10-28MEL 22:30 (+0)DXB 05:40 05:21 (−19)
10-27MEL 22:30 22:55 (+25)DXB 05:40 05:18 (−22)
10-26MEL 22:30 22:50 (+20)DXB 05:40 05:26 (−14)
10-25MEL 22:15 (+0)DXB 05:40 05:26 (−14)
10-24MEL 22:15 (+0)DXB 05:30 05:41 (+11)
10-23MEL 22:15 (+0)DXB 05:15 05:22 (+7)
10-22MEL 22:15 22:07 (−8)DXB 05:15 05:09 (−6)
10-21MEL 22:15 (+0)DXB 05:15 05:45 (+30)
10-20MEL 22:15 (+0)DXB 05:15 05:38 (+23)
10-19MEL 22:15 22:34 (+19)DXB 05:15 05:12 (−3)
10-18MEL DXB 05:15 05:19 (+4)
10-17MEL DXB 05:15 04:45 (−30)

Aircraft

Recent tails: A6-EOF, A6-EVC, A6-EON, A6-EVR.

Board clocks recorded as MEL and DXB published them.

Planning around EK407? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: EK407 Melbourne to Dubai on-time performance, measured from the MEL and DXB airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/EK407
How we measure this →