EK409Emirates · MEL → DXB
live · 39m ago
Route confirmed Emirates

EK409 MelbourneMEL · 06:15 DubaiDXB · 13:15

EK409 by Emirates flies from Melbourne (MEL) to Dubai (DXB) for the Sun, Nov 8 departure.

Right nowEn route to Dubai · off blocks 06:25 · 10 min late
13:23

estimated arrival at DXB · local time · ~7h 41m from now

En routeEK409 · position estimated
MELMelbourneDXBDubai
Estimated from the boardsarr 13:23

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 06:25 · typical taxi-out at MEL ≈ 11 min. No receiver coverage over open ocean.

⚖ EK409 typically leaves +16 and lands −2. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+16 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−2 minmedian over 12 operations
Wins back in air~18 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 12tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-08
+10 gate · +8 arrival
11-07
+13 gate · +4 arrival
11-06
+16 gate · −4 arrival
11-05
+13 gate · −6 arrival
11-04
+15 gate · +5 arrival
11-03
+20 gate · −2 arrival
11-02
+20 gate · +14 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −2 min · 0 cancelled · 12 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
MELMelbourneOn-time likelyMEL delay board →
DXBDubaiOn-time likelyDXB delay board →
MEL→DXBevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
43%Chance of 15+ min delay
4.1%Chance of cancellation
+9 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at MEL and DXB are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at Melbourne

Forecast

Mon 9 Nov, local date

High22°Clikely 20°C to 24°C
Low5°Clikely 3°C to 6°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Dubai

Forecast

Mon 9 Nov, local date

High34°Clikely 32°C to 36°C
Low26°Clikely 25°C to 28°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Melbourne to Dubai flights today

same route · Emirates
EK2665departs 04:00
EK407departs 22:15

If EK409 is cancelled, these are the other Emirates nonstop flights from Melbourne to Dubai on the same day, with scheduled departure times in MEL local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How EK409 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for EK409 across the MEL and DXB boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands on time. Based on 11 confirmed landings · 11/11 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how EK409 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-08MEL 06:15 06:25 (+10)DXB 13:15 13:23 (+8)
11-07MEL 06:15 06:28 (+13)DXB 13:15 13:19 (+4)
11-06MEL 06:15 06:31 (+16)DXB 13:15 13:11 (−4)
11-05MEL 06:15 06:28 (+13)DXB 13:15 13:09 (−6)
11-04MEL 06:15 06:30 (+15)DXB 13:15 13:20 (+5)
11-03MEL 06:15 06:35 (+20)DXB 13:15 13:13 (−2)
11-02MEL 06:15 06:35 (+20)DXB 13:15 13:29 (+14)
11-01MEL 06:15 06:40 (+25)DXB 13:15 13:18 (+3)
10-31MEL 06:15 06:34 (+19)DXB 13:15 13:02 (−13)
10-30MEL 06:15 06:30 (+15)DXB 13:15 12:55 (−20)
10-29MEL 06:15 06:33 (+18)DXB 13:15 13:12 (−3)
10-28MEL DXB 13:15 12:58 (−17)

Aircraft

Recent tails: A6-EVK, A6-EVD, A6-EUW, A6-EEU.

Board clocks recorded as MEL and DXB published them.

Planning around EK409? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: EK409 Melbourne to Dubai on-time performance, measured from the MEL and DXB airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/EK409
How we measure this →