JL2004Japan Airlines · CTS → ITM
live · 5m ago
Route confirmed Japan Airlines

JL2004 SapporoCTS · 12:20 OsakaITM · 14:20

JL2004 by Japan Airlines flies from Sapporo (CTS) to Osaka (ITM) for the Wed, Oct 28 departure.

Right nowLanded in Osaka · today
14:34

arrived at ITM · 14 min late

Typical gate push+5 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival+6 minmedian over 15 operations
Cancellation0 in 15tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-28
+2 gate · +14 arrival
10-27
+4 gate · +6 arrival
10-26
+5 gate · +10 arrival
10-25
+5 gate · +30 arrival
10-24
+8 gate · +6 arrival
10-23
+11 gate · +1 arrival
10-22
−1 gate · −2 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival +6 min · 0 cancelled · 15 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
CTSSapporoOn-time likelyCTS delay board →
ITMOsakaOn-time likelyITM delay board →
CTS→ITMevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
27%Chance of 15+ min delay
2.5%Chance of cancellation
+5 minAvg hub delay right now

Conditions at CTS and ITM are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Sapporo to Osaka with Japan Airlines · Thu 29 Oct, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.3%3.8× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
1.1%6.4× usual

Forecast weather: 79% chance of rain at Sapporo

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 5 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Sapporo to Osaka flights today

same route · Japan Airlines
JL2000departs 09:00
JL3914departs 13:15
JL3916departs 14:20
JL2008departs 15:10
JL2010departs 15:45
JL2016departs 17:40

If JL2004 is cancelled, these are the other Japan Airlines nonstop flights from Sapporo to Osaka on the same day, with scheduled departure times in CTS local time. Most flights posting a delay still operate — rebooking usually only beats a very large posted delay. Every airline on this route →

How JL2004 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for JL2004 across the CTS and ITM boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~6 min late. Based on 14 confirmed landings · 11/14 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how JL2004 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-28CTS 12:20 12:22 (+2)ITM 14:20 14:34 (+14)
10-27CTS 12:20 12:24 (+4)ITM 14:20 14:26 (+6)
10-26CTS 12:20 12:25 (+5)ITM 14:20 14:30 (+10)
10-25CTS 12:20 12:25 (+5)ITM 14:20 14:50 (+30)
10-24CTS 12:05 12:13 (+8)ITM 14:00 14:06 (+6)
10-23CTS 12:05 12:16 (+11)ITM 14:00 14:01 (+1)
10-22CTS 12:05 12:04 (−1)ITM 14:00 13:58 (−2)
10-21CTS 12:05 12:10 (+5)ITM 14:00 14:27 (+27)
10-20CTS 12:05 (+0)ITM 14:00 14:06 (+6)
10-19CTS 12:05 12:15 (+10)ITM 14:00 14:22 (+22)
10-18CTS 12:05 12:15 (+10)ITM 14:00 14:02 (+2)
10-17CTS 12:05 12:14 (+9)ITM 14:00 14:06 (+6)
10-16CTS 12:05 12:13 (+8)ITM 14:00 14:10 (+10)
10-15CTS 12:05 12:08 (+3)ITM 14:00 14:01 (+1)
10-14CTS 12:05 12:16 (+11)ITM 14:00 14:22 (+22)

Board clocks recorded as CTS and ITM published them.

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — JL2004 Sapporo to Osaka on-time performance, measured from the CTS and ITM airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/JL2004
How we measure this →