JL2010Japan Airlines · CTS → ITM
live · 6m ago
Route confirmed Japan Airlines

JL2010 SapporoCTS · 15:30 OsakaITM · 17:30

JL2010 by Japan Airlines flies from Sapporo (CTS) to Osaka (ITM) for the Sat, Oct 31 departure.

Right nowScheduled · gate 14
15:30

departs CTS · on schedule

Typical gate push+2 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−1 minmedian over 15 operations
Wins back in air~3 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 15tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-30
+2 gate · +9 arrival
10-29
−1 gate · +2 arrival
10-28
+7 gate · −5 arrival
10-27
+2 gate · +3 arrival
10-26
+0 gate · +19 arrival
10-25
+3 gate · +4 arrival
10-24
−4 gate · −7 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −1 min · 0 cancelled · 15 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
CTSSapporoHigh riskCTS delay board →
ITMOsakaModerate riskITM delay board →
CTS→ITMevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
34%Chance of 15+ min delay
2.0%Chance of cancellation
+9 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by ITM (Osaka), currently flying MVFR (marginal visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Sapporo to Osaka with Japan Airlines · Sun 1 Nov, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.3%3.6× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
1.0%6.9× usual

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 5 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Sapporo to Osaka flights today

same route · Japan Airlines
JL3910departs 08:00
JL2000departs 09:00
JL3912departs 09:40
JL2004departs 12:05
JL3914departs 13:15
JL3916departs 14:20

If JL2010 is cancelled, these are the other Japan Airlines nonstop flights from Sapporo to Osaka on the same day, with scheduled departure times in CTS local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How JL2010 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for JL2010 across the CTS and ITM boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands on time. Based on 13 confirmed landings · 12/13 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how JL2010 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-30CTS 15:30 15:32 (+2)ITM 17:30 17:39 (+9)
10-29CTS 15:30 15:29 (−1)ITM 17:30 17:32 (+2)
10-28CTS 15:30 15:37 (+7)ITM 17:30 17:25 (−5)
10-27CTS 15:30 15:32 (+2)ITM 17:30 17:33 (+3)
10-26CTS 15:30 (+0)ITM 17:30 17:49 (+19)
10-25CTS 15:30 15:33 (+3)ITM 17:30 17:34 (+4)
10-24CTS 15:45 15:41 (−4)ITM 17:45 17:38 (−7)
10-23CTS 15:45 (+0)ITM 17:45 17:35 (−10)
10-22CTS 15:45 15:43 (−2)ITM 17:45 17:44 (−1)
10-21CTS 15:45 15:53 (+8)ITM 17:45 18:00 (+15)
10-20CTS 15:45 15:55 (+10)ITM 17:45 17:41 (−4)
10-19CTS 15:45 15:50 (+5)ITM 17:45 17:47 (+2)
10-18CTS 15:45 15:43 (−2)ITM 17:45 17:30 (−15)
10-17CTS 15:45 15:50 (+5)ITM 17:45 17:39 (−6)
10-16CTS 15:45 15:48 (+3)ITM 17:45 17:43 (−2)

Board clocks recorded as CTS and ITM published them.

Planning around JL2010? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: JL2010 Sapporo to Osaka on-time performance, measured from the CTS and ITM airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/JL2010
How we measure this →