KL861KLM · AMS → NRT
updated 6h ago
Route confirmed KLM

KL861 AmsterdamAMS · 14:15 TokyoNRT · 11:45

KL861 by KLM flies from Amsterdam (AMS) to Tokyo (NRT) for the Sun, Nov 8 departure.

Right nowEn route to Tokyo · off blocks 14:20 · 5 min late
En route

en route from AMS to NRT

En routeKL861 · position estimated
AMSAmsterdamNRTTokyo
Estimated from the boards

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 14:20. No receiver coverage over open ocean.

⚖ KL861 typically leaves +25 and lands −16. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+25 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−16 minmedian over 12 operations
Wins back in air~41 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 12tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-08
+5 gate · −16 arrival
11-07
+24 gate · −3 arrival
11-06
+22 gate · −26 arrival
11-05
+28 gate · −15 arrival
11-04
+85 gate · +43 arrival
11-03
+28 gate · −17 arrival
11-02
+18 gate · −18 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −16 min · 0 cancelled · 12 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
AMSAmsterdamOn-time likelyAMS delay board →
NRTTokyoOn-time likelyNRT delay board →
AMS→NRTevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
31%Chance of 15+ min delay
4.2%Chance of cancellation
+1 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by AMS (Amsterdam), currently flying MVFR (marginal visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at Amsterdam

Forecast

Mon 9 Nov, local date

High10°Clikely 8°C to 11°C
Low3°Clikely 1°C to 5°C
  • 45% chance of fog

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Tokyo

Forecast

Tue 10 Nov, local date

High13°Clikely 11°C to 16°C
Low8°Clikely 5°C to 10°C
  • 90% chance of rain

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Amsterdam to Tokyo flights today

same route · KLM
KL863departs 09:35
KL865departs 10:40

If KL861 is cancelled, these are the other KLM nonstop flights from Amsterdam to Tokyo on the same day, with scheduled departure times in AMS local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How KL861 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for KL861 across the AMS and NRT boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~16 min early. Based on 12 confirmed landings · 11/12 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how KL861 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-08AMS 14:15 14:20 (+5)NRT 11:45 11:29 (−16)
11-07AMS 14:15 14:39 (+24)NRT 11:45 11:42 (−3)
11-06AMS 14:15 14:37 (+22)NRT 11:45 11:19 (−26)
11-05AMS 14:15 14:43 (+28)NRT 11:45 11:30 (−15)
11-04AMS 14:15 15:40 (+85)NRT 11:45 12:28 (+43)
11-03AMS 14:15 14:43 (+28)NRT 11:45 11:28 (−17)
11-02AMS 14:15 14:33 (+18)NRT 11:45 11:27 (−18)
11-01AMS 14:15 14:36 (+21)NRT 11:45 11:29 (−16)
10-31AMS 14:15 14:54 (+39)NRT 11:45 11:29 (−16)
10-30AMS 14:15 14:40 (+25)NRT 11:45 11:22 (−23)
10-29AMS 14:15 14:35 (+20)NRT 11:45 11:19 (−26)
10-28AMS 14:15 15:08 (+53)NRT 11:45 11:37 (−8)

Aircraft

Recent tails: PH-BQH, PH-BQN, PH-BQA, PH-BQG.

Board clocks recorded as AMS and NRT published them.

Planning around KL861? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: KL861 Amsterdam to Tokyo on-time performance, measured from the AMS and NRT airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/KL861
How we measure this →