QF461Qantas Airways · SYD → MEL
live · 3m ago
Route confirmed Qantas Airways

QF461 SydneySYD · 16:15 MelbourneMEL · 17:50

QF461 by Qantas Airways flies from Sydney (SYD) to Melbourne (MEL) for the Sun, Nov 1 departure.

Right nowOn Time · today
16:15

departs SYD · on schedule

Typical gate push+0 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−5 minmedian over 5 operations
Wins back in air~5 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time →

Where the minutes go

last 5 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-30
+0 gate · −5 arrival
10-29
+0 gate · −15 arrival
10-28
+0 gate · −23 arrival
10-27
+0 gate · +5 arrival
10-26
+0 gate · −5 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −5 min · 0 cancelled · 5 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
SYDSydneyHigh riskSYD delay board →
MELMelbourneOn-time likelyMEL delay board →
SYD→MELevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
41%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.0%Chance of cancellation
+9 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at SYD and MEL are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Sydney to Melbourne with Qantas Airways · Mon 2 Nov, local date

Outlook: elevated
Chance a departure is cancelled
4.0%1.6× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
3.4%1.0× usual

Forecast weather: 91% chance of rain at Melbourne

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 28 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Sydney to Melbourne flights today

same route · Qantas Airways
QF1229departs 06:00
QF401departs 06:00
QF405departs 06:25
QF407departs 06:45
QF409departs 07:00
QF94departs 07:20

If QF461 is cancelled, these are the other Qantas Airways nonstop flights from Sydney to Melbourne on the same day, with scheduled departure times in SYD local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How QF461 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for QF461 across the SYD and MEL boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~5 min early. Based on 5 confirmed landings · 5/5 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how QF461 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-30SYD 16:15 (+0)MEL 17:50 17:45 (−5)
10-29SYD 16:15 (+0)MEL 17:50 17:35 (−15)
10-28SYD 16:15 (+0)MEL 17:50 17:27 (−23)
10-27SYD 16:15 (+0)MEL 17:50 17:55 (+5)
10-26SYD 16:15 (+0)MEL 17:50 17:45 (−5)

Aircraft

Recent tails: VH-VZE, VH-EBA, VH-VYZ, VH-VYG.

Board clocks recorded as SYD and MEL published them.

Planning around QF461? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: QF461 Sydney to Melbourne on-time performance, measured from the SYD and MEL airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/QF461
How we measure this →